This is the best free tip for PSG-Manchester City

It is unfair to the past years of the two teams that they are fighting for the top24 in the CL, but that is the case.

It’s a grim world for both PSG and Manchester City fans. The Parisians have started the round below the line in the CL top table having scored just 6 goals in 6 games, but City’s 8-point tally is not much better. Whichever team wins will take a big step towards progression, but whichever loses will find themselves in a difficult situation – if it’s PSG, near hopeless. Let’s see what can be expected in the light of this at the Parc des Princes. Once again, we called Rabona to help us find the best odds.

Form and team news

The good mood was not lost on either side, City tuned up with a 6-0 success, while PSG came from behind to win away at Lens. In any case, the French side are in a better position in that the title is almost in the bag, so Luis Enrique can think about who to rest before almost every league game. Pep Guardiola has had less opportunity to do this, but Haaland, De Bruyne or Foden have only played an hour, so the legs shouldn’t be too heavy on Wednesday night.

This clash could be particularly poignant because of the two Spanish good friends, Guardiola and Luis Enrique. Such a rendezvous has happened four times before, with the sides sharing points in a fraternal way.

Where does the bad luck streak end?

This is a particularly interesting meeting, not least because it involves two very under-performing teams in the BL field. PSG, for example, are by far the worst in terms of goals scored, with a gap of more than 7 goals between their actual goals scored and their xG-rate – which puts them above the rest of the field. So, despite an expected goalscoring rate of 12.37 and the fifth highest number of attempted shots in the field, the Parisians have scored only five times, in addition to one own goal.

But City are not shining in these indicators either. England’s 122 attempts lead the list, but they are still 3.59 short of the ‘target’, which is probably easily expressed in points.

Remember, we’re talking about two real star teams, either side dropping out of the series would be a huge setback, which could mean a change of manager. So it looks like a very peppery game, even though only Barca have collected fewer cards than PSG in the BL this year and the number is low next to City.

PSG-Manchester City best free pick

While I think there could be some value in City winning, as they are the better team and shouldn’t be underdogs even in Paris, I’m going to offer a tip on the cards. I do this as the really strong odds have already been killed off by punters, for example I’ve offered the 4.0 over card option at @1.96 on Logibet. It’s worth to subscribe to Logibet just for the booming ideas like this!

The teams are not the best basically for overs and I’ve seen Marciniak score overs, but still, there has to be bone music here. We’ve seen some very spicy matches between the sides and everything is in place for this one to be one of those.

Pick: Over 4.5 cards @1.96