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Barcelona and Atlético will play the UCL semifinal?
Both Spanish giants can look forward to the rematch with a one-goal lead, the bookmakers have priced them in nicely.
Fortunately, after Tuesday’s goal-filled Champions League quarter-finals, we were not bored on Wednesday either, as the two games brought another eight goals. This means that the net bounced 18 times (!) in the four meetings, and the last example of such a good harvest was in the 2010/11 competition. The fact that the goal-scoring rule has been abolished plays a big role in this, so the parties are no longer forced to be careful in away matches. Well, let’s not mince words any longer, let’s see the Barca-PSG and BVB-Atléti duels’ chances of progressing.
On paper, the semi-final will be among spanish teams
PSG-Barcelona did not receive as much attention as in previous years, but the parties hardly disappointed. The meeting brought the Catalans a 3-2 success, but based on the picture of the game, perhaps a draw would have been a more realistic result. It’s a cliché, but soccer is played for goals, and the Parisians took a 2-1 lead in vain, and will travel to the Nou Camp with a one-goal deficit.
PSG’s task is far from easy, as Barcelona are unbeaten in 12 stakes matches, of which they have won nine.
Regardless, the odds of 1.21 do not seem too steely for Lewandowski, while 4.20 may carry some value for PSG. In this duel, the advantage did not always mean progress anyway, let’s just remember La Remuntada in 2017, when Barca won 6-1 at home against the French after losing the first leg 4-0 and could advance.
Atléti-Dortmund was also on fire, the excitement reached its peak, so much so that Diego Simeone and the sporting director of Dortmund almost had a fight. Despite the 66 percent ball possession, the Wasps scored less xG and had fewer big chances, but they cannot be dissatisfied with the 2-1 defeat.
Especially since under Simeone’s management, Atléti have never lost at home in the straight elimination phase of the BL – in 17 games, 11 wins and 6 draws!
The black-and-yellows are also historically more steely in front of their own audience, where, in addition to Newcastle and PSV, PSG and Milan couldn’t handle them this year, although a draw won’t be enough for Haller and co. right now. We roughly agree with the progression odds here, and we don’t think the team from Madrid will let go of their minimal advantage in the return match on April 16.
