English 
We found a strong tip for the Fio-Atalanta semi-final!
Atalanta could even win in Florence after knocking out Napoli.
It would be an exaggeration to say that Juventus will face Juventus in the Italian Cup final, but the Old Lady took a two-goal lead over Lazio in the first leg on Tuesday night. That means Torino will be in a favourable position to see if Fiorentina or Atalanta can gain an advantage in the other leg at the Artemio Franchi.
As you can see the odds the chances are completely even, which of course is more flattering for Bergamo. Although Fiorentina have also started the year in excellent form, they have slipped to 10th in Serie A, although they remain in contention in the Conference League. In addition, if they win their cancelled match (postponed against Atalanta due to the death of sporting director Joe Barone), they could jump up to 7th place.
Vincenzo Italiano’s side, on the other hand, are winless against Italian sides since mid-February, but digging deeper, in 2024 the Viola have only won 2 of 13 matches when they had an Italian rival on the other side of the pitch. But the year started much better than that…
Under Italiano, Fiorentina have always reached at least the semi-finals of the Italian Cup.
As for Atalanta, Gasperini’s side have been on a really exciting run this season, winning six games in a row at the start of the year, followed by five straight wins and now two, one of which was a treble at home to the reigning champions. These days, of course, Napoli are not a factor in the Italian league, but a 3-0 success at the Maradona deserves credit under any circumstances.
As for the expected starters, there are not many absentees for Fio, while De Ketelaere is injured for Atalanta, although without him the Bergamo side showed a creative attacking play in the south.
Atalanta’s desire for revenge must be fuelled, as not only did Fio win their September game at home, but the Violas were the final destination for the blue and black in 2022 and 2020 at the Coppa. We’ll write it down right away that Atalanta are the favourites to progress, so they’re worth backing at even odds, but this is more of a draw match for us, so we won’t be giving that kind of tip at the moment.
In September, the two sides drew 3-2 and we can expect goals again, even though it is the first match. Both teams are scoring a lot of goals, so this is a margin that could easily be exceeded. We also have a special shout out to Andrea Belotti, who has scored 11 times in his last two games and has found the back of the net 5 times. 2 good shots now would be worth nearly 3 times the money.
