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We also have a special free card tip on Bayern-Lazio at almost @4.00
Lazio had drawn the first leg with 0 cards, but this would be a huge surprise
The teams will continue from a one-goal Italian lead in Munich tonight, but Lazio are still massive underdogs in the match. Although the first game was a tough one despite the red card, it’s no coincidence that the bookmakers are expecting plenty of cards in the return leg. Let’s see what the best bets are for the evening from 20bet!
In Rome, Letexier didn’t have to reach into his pocket until the 67th minute, but then he rewarded Upamecano with a red card and the complaining Kimmich with a yellow. Apart from that, however, there was nothing of substance from a refereeing point of view, with 15 fouls and 3 cards being surprisingly few. This was mainly due to the fact that Lazio did not play a subordinate role and, when they had the man advantage, they did not need tactical fouls in particular.
Of course, the Italians can be rough when they want to be, and Friday’s league game was a good example of this, with Marusic, Guendouzi and Pellegrini all being sent off, picking up 10 penalty points in total.
After 7 games Bayern Munich have 11 points in the Champions League, while Lazio have 22.
A lot may depend on the game, because as long as Lazio are not eliminated, they will probably play in a subordinate, defensive role, which may require a lot of tactical fouls. However, it’s worth noting Pedro, Castellanos, Guendouzi and Patric are also at risk, although only the Frenchman is provisionally in the projected starting line-up.
Who’s got the whistle tonight?
Slavko Vincic has been given the honour of conducting the return leg, and the 44-year-old from Maribor has the experience to do it. Vincic has officiated three group games, with a total of 13 yellow cards, cautioned Immobile and Patricio in the Lazio-Altético clash and even gave the renegade Sarri a yellow card.
The Slovenian referee is otherwise considered a moderately strict referee, with a BL average of 4.32 in 28 games, although he may come in a heightened mood, having handed out nine yellow cards in an Olimpija-Celje meeting on Saturday.
What could be the best card tips?
More Lazio cards could be easy pickings, and of course 20bet is only paying @1.65 on this one. As I personally don’t expect a Bayern goal, I would stick to the scenario that Sarri will have to defend for most of the game.
Along with a safety and a braver idea, we’ll also play a player in the shape of Luis Alberto. The midfielder has yellowed in all four of his league games this season, and young Mathys Tell will have his work cut out.
✅ Prediction #1: Lazio get more cards @1.65
✅ Prediction #2: Lazio 3.5 yellow cards over @2.80
✅ Prediction #3: Luis Alberto gets a penalty @3.75
