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Unser Tipp für das Derby Roma-Lazio ist nicht zu erraten
In recent years, the Derby della Capitale has been held in Italy with a different stakes. This time, the 31st round of the competition is a battle that is more likely to be of interest only to Roma, who would be the runners-up to their city rivals in the Cup after their defeat in January.
Daniele De Rossi’s side are still in the fight for Champions League qualification, five points behind Bologna. In addition, Motta have a winnable 90 minutes ahead of them as they host Frosinone, so Wolves do not have the luxury of not winning against Lazio. DDR has made a good debut, but his last two away games have been a disappointment for the capital side, as they failed to win in Florence and Lecce, the former only managing to salvage a point in the 95th minute.
Also a common point is that in both games they practically outplayed Roma, as their attempts on goal ended in a 42-20 ratio in the two games combined and they pretty much outscored De Rossi’s side in xG in those meetings. However, the situation will be better now that Roma will be playing at home, and Lukaku have won 15 of their last 19 games at the Olimpico.
In any case, De Rossi is preparing for an important 90 minutes, even though he has already come through a baptism of fire against the Capitals in the Cup. De Rossi’s work rate and intelligence have been praised by many this week, with Alberto Aquiliani and Bruno Conti both singling him out, and the concrete midfielder’s leadership has been evident on the pitch. Conti even compared the 40-year-old to Carlo Ancelotti.
Lazio’s situation is more interesting, as they are 6 points clear of the EL, but 7th place in the Conference League could still be worth something for the Eagles. In any case, the cup fiasco against Juve did not go well for Marusic, so the only thing left for the Eagles is probably the league, where they need a huge win to secure EL qualification.
Lazio’s debut was not a bad one either, with Igor Tudor winning his first league game for Lazio, but the double against the Old Lady was not enough to make the Croatian manager happy.
As for the starting line-ups, Dybala could return from injury and Pellegrini from suspension and of course both are expected to start. In a 4-3-3 formation, Wolves could therefore see Lukaku and El Shaarawy prove their worth alongside the Argentine. For Lazio, the substitution of Zaccagni could be a headache, while Tudor is likely to stay in a 3-4-2-1 with Ciro Immobile starting on the bench.
Free tips for Roma-Lazio
Our first tip is a low-scoring „home“ score. Roma are probably in better form and are definitely favourites for the points at home. Our second idea is a bit more exciting…
22bet has set the margin at 7.0 on the card line, which is decent for a Rome derby, but still a bit high. Even though the cup game was out of control and there were 7 yellows in the autumn game, if you look at the last 9 games where Roma were at home, you can’t even find a 7 card game, let alone an overt.
The referee for the match will be Marco Guida, who has had a very hectic career. After an extended lay-off, his card count has fallen off dramatically, as he has averaged 4.0 in the last two seasons, and has only overplayed twice in that time.
